Will Nexo See a Liquidity Crisis in 2022?

Will Nexo See a Liquidity Crisis in 2022?

NEXO

Nexo is a pioneer of crypto lending platforms. Since 2018 it turned into a full flung crypto finance ecosystem. You can buy, sell, trade, and borrow. Their latest addition is the Nexo Card. You pay straight up with crypto.

However, there may be some dark clouds on the horizon. There seem to be lots of pro and con camps over Nexo. Let’s find out what is or may be going on at Nexo.

Nexo will undergo a liquidity crisis by the end of 2022 (87% certain)

Of all the CeFi lenders covered, Nexo is the champ in half truths and illusionary otter tactics

Read on as otter uncovers the tricks!

(Part I of II)

🦦 👇🏼 🧵

— otteroooo (@otteroooo) June 22, 2022

What is Nexo?

Nexo is a centralized platform. Therefore, by definition, it is not a DeFi platform. In their ecosystem, they service some four million clients per day. They offer a variety of services, for example;

  • Borrow crypto—Their instant crypto credit line is popular. It lets you borrow cash and stablecoins from $50 to $2 million. You need crypto as collateral.
  • NFT lending desk.—Borrow ETH, stablecoins, or other crypto for your NFTs. Use your BAYC or CryptoPunks for this. Borrow up to 20% of the NFT value.
  • Nexo exchange—They offer over 300 crypto pairs.
  • The Nexo card—Launched in April 2022. You can use it everywhere where they accept Mastercard. BTC, ETH, or 40 other cryptos are your collateral.

However, the Crypto Twitter handle otteroooo thinks that Nexo is fishy. He or she is a crypto investigator. In this thread on Nexo, there are many assumptions. However, there are also a few pointers that look legit or make sense. So, let’s dive in and see what he has to say about Nexo. 

Nexo website

Source: Nexo website

1. Nexo’s Audit

Here otteroooo comes up with some good points. Although Nexo claims to have had audits, they are only attestations. There is a big difference between them.

Here is the difference between the two.

  • Audit: A neutral examination of the financial statements of a company. They confirm that records are fair and accurate. They also represent a companies financial state of affairs.
  • An attestation: This is a legal acknowledgment of the authenticity of a document.

To sum up, an attestation is only a verification that a firm followed proper processes. A financial audit level of auditing and investigation is a different ball game. For example, S&P companies audit yearly. They don’t do attestations.

Their advertisements are seemingly misleading. The picture below is a great sample. They claim, “real-time auditing”. However, in the small print it says attestation. Otteroooo calls this “A sneaky bait & switch, a half-truth!”.

NexoSource: Twitter

ArmaninoLLP completes the attestations of Nexo. According to otteroooo, this is how it works. He got this from the Armanino website.

  • Nexo outlines how Armanino will conduct these attestations. They use “agreed upon procedures”.
  • Nexo provides wallet addresses (without audit) to Armanino.
  • Nexo feeds its debt figures (users’ deposits) to Armanino. Once more, without audit.
  • Armanino looks at the unaudited wallet addresses. They also check the unaudited debt figures. Armanino now calculates if the Nexo-given assets are higher than its debt.

However, we looked closer at the Armanino website. Their site doesn’t list attestation procedures. It does show information on audits, though.

Potential Problematic Points

But Otter found this result of ‘the agreed upon procedures’. No mention of an audit.

Nexo

Source: Twitter

With attestations, there is a problem. The investigating party has no proof that the information provided to them is true.

So, in this case, Otter remarks; “Are these assets liquid? Are they caught up in sanctioned Russian gov bonds, or in black hole GBTC, or in staked ETH?

In case depositors on Nexo want all their cash back in one day, how liquid is Nexo? How fast can they get out of their positions? So, the question of how liquid Nexo is, is an important one. 

Unfortunately, Otter doesn’t have any proof, and it’s all ‘what if’. On the other hand, that’s the nature of this game since there are no audits. This should be at least a small red flag. Does it remind anybody of Celsius?

However, Nexo made it now impossible to look back at their historic website.

HUGE red flag for NEXO. They don’t allow you to archive or access an archived version of their website on https://t.co/E4M8tahsW2 or https://t.co/c9kUc9HtEq

Probable reason is that they want to hide something! pic.twitter.com/UzAjUvCi6D

— Bitcoin vs. Gold (@VersusBtc) June 22, 2022

2. A Swiss Letterbox Company

Nexo has all the signs of a Swiss letterbox company in Zug, Switzerland. Nexo doesn’t have its own office. Instead, they use a ‘c/o’ or ‘care of’ address.

There are three directors. Two Bulgarian men and a Swiss national. As required by law. It is likely that Mr. Leuenberger is a straw man. 

Nexo

Source: Twitter

On April 5, 2018, Nexo waived a limited audit. In Switzerland, that’s only possible if less than 10 persons work for the company. A company of Nexo’s size must clearly have more than 10 people employed. This leads to Otter’s assumption that they are not based in Switzerland or break Swiss law.

However, claiming to be a Swiss-based company will raise trust in their product/firm

3. Nexo’s “Offer” to Buy Celsius Assets

Celsius paused withdrawals to stop liquidity outflow. It was also reported that they have hired debt restructuring firms. This put quite some pressure on all other CeFi lenders. But why? Here’s Otter’s answer;


CeFi lender business models operate mostly on trust. Add to this blind, unquestioning faith from users. Because they are greedy for the high yields.”

However, if Celsius falls, that shatters the image of trust. Nexo, and CeFi users in general, want to bail out. Their risk becomes too high. Now we can look back at Otter’s question about Nexo’s liquidity.

.@CelsiusNetwork is pausing all withdrawals, Swap, and transfers between accounts. Acting in the interest of our community is our top priority. Our operations continue and we will continue to share information with the community. More here: https://t.co/CvjORUICs2

— Celsius (@CelsiusNetwork) June 13, 2022

For whatever it’s worth, we also found this announcement on a P2P review platform.

P2P review platform

Source: P2PEmpire

Conclusion

Otter makes some good points about Nexo when we look at the audits vs attestations. So far, that seems to be the strongest point. The Swiss letter box company is valid. However, it’s not unusual to do. On the other hand, you expect more transparency from a company like Nexo. 

The last point about the Celsius situation makes sense. However, Otter also has a lot of ‘what if’ scenarios. How likely is it that there may be a fire where there is smoke? Looking at the current market, it may be wise to proceed with prudence when you have funds on Nexo.

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